April 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Walker’s Quist | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Carry Thy Cross | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sag Harbor | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Chalice | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Monzza | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Downie’s Hip | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 9 | Rumohr Reigns | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Lookin for Larry | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Sing Loud | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Duda Matt | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frank the Mayor | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carrier Pigeon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Bullet | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eastside Boy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver King | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Force | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overlyappealing | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talkothtown | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Man Behind the Bar | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tonights Star | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nomorequestions | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baudette Blizzard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer Pride | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie Moon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Protection | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joe Diver | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Ethan Run | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diablo Cat | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Times Rollin | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Bling | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquistador Gold | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prado | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unbridled Baby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wayne’s Hope | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Inawic | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halfglamorous | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Streamer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Steph’s Spirit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Therunawaycamp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maggie’s Return | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Midnight Trip | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kenya Strike | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Non Binding | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Isolation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Friday’s Best | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strong Rules | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One Tough Charlie | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Appeal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Yes Bab | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Andiamo Giacomo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smiling Song | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazing Fire | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Little Can | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hostile Afleet | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot Le Roy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Got Kramer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blue Grass Anna | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | California Katie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eve’s Delight | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alberta Moon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | World Party | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moon Lovin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Anita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Darlene | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ten Buds | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alan’s Argument | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traelee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Countach | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Round Quarter | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Kat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Song | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bettin On Bryan | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheveyo | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Code | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Here Comes Magic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bodemeister Wind | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sobek | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mischief’s Machine | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last Battle | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oops Wediditagain | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oxbow Pioneer | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G Victory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Money and Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bee House | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emeraldwaters | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Hetty | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lumberjack Empire | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crider Chase | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racelynn | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velleity | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn’s Grip | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tenacious Faith | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Safe Keeping | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quick Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aunt Jana | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liam Skye | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’s a Climber | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thetrashmanscoming | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Individual | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Bermuda | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor My Speed | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johny’s Bobby | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Factor | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Such | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Crush | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bayou Jam | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.