April 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Powershot | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ferryboat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Big Power Red | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Race Craft | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leroy Jenkins | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blushinstreetdevil | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pipes and Drums | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | The Big Irishman | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dixieland Music | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bottomless | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Edge | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Matt’s Pride | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’m All Mixed Up | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s the Boss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wish for Interest | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Geaux Golden | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Perfect Justice | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wrinkled Rose | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sophisticated Girl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carletta | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Get Directions | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cherokee Bless | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Lawson | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | C. F. Shelauh | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Anotherinthefire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Katie’s Cruise | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ibegtodiffer | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fashion Merit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Custom for Aly | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Who Dat Grey | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Perfect Peach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Omahasetgeaux | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Back Inthat Action | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jeweled Crown | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charming Flirt | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Expresso | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clocked in Tyme | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Milagros | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Money Sunk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hanging Lake | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Loving | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Super Legs | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caught His Eye | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shrew Grit | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Envoy’s Guilt | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | La La Latte | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Venus in Furs | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | G Kate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Heat | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peach’s Swan Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Executive Council | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Candy’s Parade | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Quinn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Misty Malice | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Finnleys Encore | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Em’s Miss Prado | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zumberta | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Micajah | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crusader Express | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Smittys Patriarch | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Janets Jay Jay | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sy Michael | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Coach Kenny | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Perigee | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Gallant Star | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wise Anchor | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Morricone | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bunkie’s Song | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Power | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tigerbeach | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ride to the Wire | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zmor Aristocat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Young Phillip | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Rate First | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Royal Reality | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Beauty Boy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunnyonastormyday | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Homeview | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Wings | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | High Cruise | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gotta Go | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Masterly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Iowa Native | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Debonnaire Dude | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Club Soda | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Outofthisgalaxy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bistraya | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laddie Boy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forestdungone | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Black Sword | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papa Bro | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ready Redding | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pay the Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Baudette Blizzard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hail State | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Carlos | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slither | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love to Singh | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Win Ya Win | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pray Ide Sing | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keys to the Palace | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cantrell Hill | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Why God | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mister Intuition | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buxterhooter | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Willy Special Cats | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moment | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zing Zang | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Run Homer | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorarian | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot’s War | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purim King | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drewpower | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.