April 14, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dona Camile | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Claire Bear | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Phelps | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juliet’s Music | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Seasons Girl | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Driver’s License | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazza Carina | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saafen | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tequilamademedoit | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s Charge | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fomo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Juan | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Time Operator | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | New Hampshire | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Huskies | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He Runs the Line | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Cape Cod Sally | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yourindenial | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Twirling Dervish | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Her Readyeddie | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dial a Lady | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Secrets Kept | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stone Cold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Runs for Luck | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Jazz | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobcat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Than Striking | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Powerful Venezuela | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ask Chuck | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Cowboy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Diamond Square | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Incensed | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Royal T | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Bella G | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Fine One Won | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Did I Stutter | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sense a Million | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bamboo Garden | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mini Scoop | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee’s Spirit | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Risque Express | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Thatta Boy Girl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Midnight Sky | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hero for Hire | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Luna Azteca | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Woman Flyer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dean’s Ticket | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baaqeya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gobi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Our Stormin Norman | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Coup | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kairos | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Too Much Johnnie | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bill’s Mafia | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heart of a Dreamer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Refi | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Weekend in Court | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happyascanb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kingsville | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Terry’s Charm | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Setter | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitching Ari | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Federal Case | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Luxury Suite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Rush Dancer | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jw’strickymischief | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | In Equality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tomarie | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridledadventure | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Slingin Sammy B | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | She’s Primo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Assume Control | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hola Princess | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mija Bella | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | J J Loves Billy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tokyo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Branco Maria | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Velocity | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Shot | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Tocsin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Chase | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pnutbutter Special | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Freedom Force | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Manny | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greenback | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rising Storm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Capitan Fofo | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grays the Bar | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Star Luck | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Devilry | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fear None | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neo | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blackjack Jedi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.