April 15, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gypsy Wife | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skye Snow | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Star Swept | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lovely Brown | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kayseri | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Play That Tone | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emolga | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Infatuating | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frenchmen Street | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandys Blaze | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zaino Boyz | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puttheglassdown | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unprecedented | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Venerable | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Citizen West | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Yield Kitten | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alado | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Si Como No | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rave On | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Apache Brave | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Tom | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Malbec | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vision Perfect | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marcelino | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Kantharos | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reagan’s Heart | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Earth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Mistress | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Babe | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gotham Queen | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our West Indy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addi | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tammany | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benefit St | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kerik | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Facts Only | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abiding Star | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zap Daddy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mid Day Image | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belgrano | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Vow Me Now | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lahinch | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Journey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Examiner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Campaign | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Create Again | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dropped Anchor | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lease | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gege Conquest | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braccio Di Ferro | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khozando | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Game | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caramel Chip | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mai Ty One On | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Chestnut | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I Am Free | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Citrus Burst | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inter Miami | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Needs Never (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | French Reef (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Generic Joe (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Discreet Tune | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Espia | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Tortugon (CHI) | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Deo Forte | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sope | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Exchange | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emicrack (CHI) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bodie Cody | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Tequila | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.