April 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Shenanigan | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hallajoori | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Harborage | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory to Me | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Quest | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shelby To | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toshita Forever | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Got Wings | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aunt Jana | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Watrugonnadokaren | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Bisou | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | D’yeti Man | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Man Camp | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Skylas Gold | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Chasin Gracie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Light | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Sir Etney John | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Omega | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Academy Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Theboyzhour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Banker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Harlons Commision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stormation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keen On Keenan | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aphrodites Revenge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alhambra Palace | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuhr Meo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Fashion | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Akiane’s Soldier | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Old Fashion Amour | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Woman | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Costa Sugar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlans Warrior | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Guretta | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Sunk | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Promise Tender | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tensas Thought | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Bank Baby | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Affair | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ameerah B | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Monster | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Thirsty | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Palmy Sundae | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Zippy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Interactif Moment | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Jones | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taken Back | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey’s Gone | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lenape Drive | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Makeithappen | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guilty Again | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Donna’s Court | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Outamine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Leo | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waypoint | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out Making Treble | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gotiger Special | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Redemption | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boston Slick | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beaux Victory | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Color Fast | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hearoseoneaster | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R and R Star | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Marvins Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Callthewolfe | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Darpa | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kris T. | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kodiak Sky | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Holy Song | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 8 | Memory Magic | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Georgia Dawn | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bonita Springs | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orb’s Soul | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Nana’s Joy | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 11 | Suckerforagrey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Weneedtotalk | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sermononthemount | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold Tight | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chu Chu’s Legacy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Underdog | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flash of Mischief | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lode of Blarney | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Verdict | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wrongwayhighway | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dried Pepper | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapped to the Max | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Wild Mallory | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Strong Beauty | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diva’s Ransom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grillin | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Icy Charlie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Oretta | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr Liz | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Play Unified | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sarah’s Passion | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Seventeen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crescentcitypretty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lil Bit of Justice | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poppi Is Smiling | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Data Load | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lightning Lee | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Common Law Cat | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ch Bern | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Defender | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jr’s Sauvage | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shar’s Treasure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flamin Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | One Proud Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.