April 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dr. Roger | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Constituency | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Rule | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flipping Fish | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Invisible Ghost | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nahuatl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Zopilote | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camp Pendleton | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commissioner G | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kitodan | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merlin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laki Lio | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Belle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wow Tapit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rayo | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Present | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | Fierce Scarlett | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Daddy’s Joy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostly Beauty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Aizu | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Copper | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bimini | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Real Doozie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Possible Dear | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Time to Two Step | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Raspberry Ballet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Josefa | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exact | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontpushyourluck | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imagery | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Headline Hunter | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Memories | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine City | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Third Time Around | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourma | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Excalibur | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harper Go Lucky | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rack Gin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alastor | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Eyed Jack | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prospect Project | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Winner | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gimmeabreak | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | U. S. Steel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naco | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Duke | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Que No | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omaha City | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dassult Mirage | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | C’Mon Karen | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briella | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pulling Strings | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Biggest One | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Think It Thru | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sheza Happy Girl | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mikaela | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Freedom Matters | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kroy | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominate Themoment | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Zero Gravity | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Til the End | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Treasure Run | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Max K. O. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Honolulu Express | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Totono | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wise Memories | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mumbai | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Trick | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Elusive Uncaptured | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Madeira Wine | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Breehazel | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s My Baby | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rasmalai | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.