April 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lewis Cal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal War | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drum and Drummer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sette Stelle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ian Dunross | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Campeador | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Blessing | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Admiral Truffles | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Not So Easy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Dude | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | City Magic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Deptford Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Reinoanimaux | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Indoctrinate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tarquin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fivefingerdiscount | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Ages | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resident | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | January Won | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swing West | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robintakincharge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Aramis | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takedown | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monmouth Dr | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chill Haze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harry’s Ontheloose | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Won’t | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smoke Alarm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Romario | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rough Entry | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alonzo | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy Artie | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Mane Man | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twice too Many | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maddy’s Dream | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nureyev’s Dream | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honesto | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Financin Our Dream | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Going for Gold | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Grainger County | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cool Hand Coop | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sovereign Warrior | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | King of Rock | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zorb | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Positively Awesome | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Franco’s Team | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncaptured Soldier | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Omega Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nacho Papa | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benefactor | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karen’s Cove | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Squeeze | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peppi the Hunter | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Totono | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mozo Bello | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie the Greek | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Miss Miracle | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Rachel | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Livin At the Beach | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Fled the Scene | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Buzz Buzz | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courted | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Map Em Up | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spin Your Partner | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aloha Kitten | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eighty Seven North | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | You’re the Best | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Smirkotch | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leyenda | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Briggs | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taita | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Global Empire | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ben Copenhagen | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Success | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swing Low | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Billy Yank | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emperor’s Cause | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | All Good | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Notsosubtle | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Projected (GB) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Philo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cash Call Kitten | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystical Moon | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uhtred | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doctor D J | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Traffic Pattern | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lauderdale | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harbour Master (GB) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Aequor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Majestic Luna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Youshouldbesolucky | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Man of Honor | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joe Di Baggio | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Ludington | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncork the Bottle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Running for Riz | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reservenotattained | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sir Kahn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Lancelot | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dundalk | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Advanced Strategy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kaufy Bean | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light Fury | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cairo Campaign | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oceans Map | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | King Slew (ARG) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Everyonelovesjames | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Journey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Il Faraone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Noble Name | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Time Sensitive | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Secrets Kept | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Raison the Glass | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hardly Social | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Mishka | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metafora | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Tapatia | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deraldine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Classic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Backstretchbeauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Viani | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Princess Merida | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kamala | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Green Gal | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dontmesswithtess | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.