April 17, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Assumption | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turn the Switch | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Recovery | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Its My Bag Baby | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spin Rate | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speakerofthehouse | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Deputy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Ace | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Life of Saturdays | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Janet’s Rocket | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moonshine Princess | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tallandlong | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Checkmark | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Valentine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heart to Break | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merlin’s Sister | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeri Dawn | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Strategy | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Please the Court | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Riverboat Gambler | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid’s Mischief | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Adams | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Obvious | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Driven to Compete | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ceeky | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carpe Victoriam | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | All Shacked Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Unity | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galilee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maverick Man | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dee Bo | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Battle Hero | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presto Bench | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Dice | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Colony | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Eight | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best You Ever Seen | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beemie Award | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitumen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Thunder | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alex’s Strike | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Wolf | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Street | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emeralds R Us | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rose Marie B | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Arkie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hamazing Lace | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Holiness | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Very Spicy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sailaway and Hide | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Skadi | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Jewel | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marilyn’s Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gray Attempt | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kadri | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cave Run | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vice Versa | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Shirt No Shoes | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impressed | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Codetowin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Trashtalkinyankee | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shakes Creek | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Production | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cryo | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right Tone | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pa Ma’s Amos | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stilleto Boy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | James Madison | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | W W Crazy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enid | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Favorite Uncle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Owendale | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Charge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Express Train | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Prospector | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver State | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rated R Superstar | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guest Suite | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Seven Nation Army | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Engage | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Welder | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Champagneonme | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Full Authority | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hot Shot Kid | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firecrow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Town Champ | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Scrutinizer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Apple Blossom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Monomoy Girl | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getridofwhatailesu | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Letruska | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Skydiver | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chance to Shine | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Broad | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pick Up the Fone | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleeta Belle | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragatagtag | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frills | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Flatoya | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Flying Business | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skamania | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Scout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shaharazad | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J P’s Gladys | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Tatum | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.