April 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Viani | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Moreno | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belle’s Kingdom | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Okalani | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backstretchbeauty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tonala | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kamala | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Merida | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Learnt | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jaent | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Heavenly | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maricopa | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izshefrosted | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flaine | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Sofi | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aspropodia | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gracefully | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catirusia | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Kitten | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neverstopdreaming | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buffalo Max | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Positive Phil | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Policy Option | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Embers | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hero Up | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Templet | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kicks On Sixty Six | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Factor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Pointe Drive | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aficionado | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emoji Guy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always Misbehaving | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slippy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jordan’s Leo | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sprout Wings | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Domina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jazla | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Nugget | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Ledoux | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Torn Jeans | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ilknur | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Beauty | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Mister Leonardo | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jeha | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thorn | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mista Donzella | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dewy’s Hit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Raulito | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gods Blessing | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipshape | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Young Flint | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tapping | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mandate | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adeeb | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Like Mike | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Song | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Navy Admiral | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blakenstein | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jupiter Blues | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barrel Proof | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sky Chaser | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lavi | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Possible Dear | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omnia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Molly | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Marta | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hartling | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Papa’s Little Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dahlonega | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sarasota Star | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Odramark | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tracy Ann’s Legacy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awsum Roar | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Catalina | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Astray | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Miami | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Don V. | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Keep a Eye On Mike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unlonely | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The King Aquiles | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mayor Remo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uncaptured Pulse | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Press | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tonatiuh | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Dreaming of Gus | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sleeper Ryan S | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Fernando | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Can’t Be Broken | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mindship Q | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.