April 19, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Abhaile | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Angel Embrace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Savage | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Third Time Success | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Misbehaving Lady | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clout Chaser | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Toishma | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Seeker | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mass Appeal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | My Train | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucho Mas Grande | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Devine Dental | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Asphalt Paving | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Three Phase | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack O Liam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jones Taxi | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champers | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savatiano | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Chubble | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy the Torch | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Ray | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vero Sun | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Oberon | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jumpin Jett | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canoochee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Bangle Gal | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chancee | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Superling | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Towson | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Serious Happiness | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Upgrade | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Coffee | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | I Saw It All | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Green Growth | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bridlecrest | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Best Start | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Partner’s Power | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peachy Keen | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Epigrammatist | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jumpintoaction | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace With Honor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touch Me Not | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Basil | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Incomparable | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light Up Night | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misquillo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marianna Queen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twixy Cat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lawyer Roy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sacred Mountain | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Admiral Eastwood | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Mason | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Frost’s Song | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes for Less | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bad Bud | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Vinnie | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sargeant Drive | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raggy Rocks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Inclunation | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kodapendent | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | S Man | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mean Machine | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashaab | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Doom | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inventionist | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go for the Kill | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pylon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austin Whylie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Pride N Joy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Heroic Officer | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victoria E | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | She’smyrisenstar | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gambit’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fed Policy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creedibility | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | West Horizen | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzling Roma | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Abaco Dream | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Special Risk | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adhwaa | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Above Par | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glory Dia | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capital Q | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Passage | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Map of America | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dovey Lovey | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tamiami | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arima | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Turn | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Cowboy Mz | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Cozy Lover | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Daddy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Regal Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Inspiring Justice | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mach Trial | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquistador | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chrisatude | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Get the W | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Under the Graydar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Staynsidethecircle | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.