April 20, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Stonegate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chub On Da Run | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Afleet Melody | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Breithorn | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J Wass | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catch My Vibe | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Starling Prince | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carmeltini | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pasatime | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mineshaft Magic | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connoisseur | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Girl | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Better Begin | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ragazza Carina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Algorix | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Printer | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrivederci | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rings of Jupiter | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banker’s Island | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eden Ridge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blinding | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Jasser | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Almost Evil | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crick | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzing the Polka | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mnemosyne | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Page Eleven | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Visiting Angel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Galileo’s Affair | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Penance | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anissa | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Volodina | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rose of Dublin | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gator Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theodosia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Always Talking | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Wildly Good Lookin | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Thirsty | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Knock Out Kid | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Avenue | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Morissette | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rochela | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Bayleaf | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Congrats Answer | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Valerie First | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Iwasbornawinner | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Aleda Lutz | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Congaree Rose | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Willthisshipsail | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2X | 7 | Bellamy Cat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Our Flirtation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Outline | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cartouche | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Unforgettable Kiss | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2X | 4 | Powwa of Love | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Hey Dewzpots | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Solid Gold Dancer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corbally | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Gateway Love | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | One Tough Rose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Hay Nineteen | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Miraculousblessing | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Originaly From Dot | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Our Dixie Blue | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Union Rally | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Our Sweet Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Aegean Sea | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bahama Breeze | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Three Potatoe Four | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Brown Eyes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s My Uncle | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wushu Warrior | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E J’s Revenge | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thomas Knight | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samadi Sky | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Make It Easy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Very Colorful | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Pooch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Inky Dinky Do | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.