April 22, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katz a Dream | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat Lady | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadilee | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Ghislaine | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twilight | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary of Scotland | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Night Stand | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gregs Posse | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chevelita | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Game Boy Benny | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyruawesome | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Combination | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalu | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fast | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Took a Cab | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emit | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Dudes No Fool | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captured by Fate | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bach | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heavenly Blessing | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Spider | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Shot | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indoctrinate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | City Magic | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alonzo Mosely | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aesthetically | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deptford Warrior | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Navy Pier | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tarquin | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reinoanimaux | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiat Lux | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moon Pistol | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Weisser | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dr Harlan | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chill Haze | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nicholas Rose | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Storm the Bridge | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Habibi | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cookie Cove | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zip It Jess | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majic Flash | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty Lass | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capture the Genie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Blanca | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boatloadofnerve | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bionda | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bimini | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raspberry Ballet | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time to Two Step | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jost Sayin | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Mama | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beast of Wildwood | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Follow Me Mom | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Morocco | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blameless | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Noon Rider | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Thread of Blue | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Louder Than Bombs | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forever Mo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glory of Florida | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mamma J | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chips and Salsa | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T. Waltz | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mizz Destiny | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karen’s Way | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Central Park Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shouldaknownbetter | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Amendment | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bahamian Beauty | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prize Portrait | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Exaggerated Moment | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bahamian Rhapsody | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Art Rock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pretzel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wrongfully Accused | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Honolua Bay | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.