April 22, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Renegade Sunset | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sisterofthemoon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Couverture | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Precious Tinkle | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great in Red | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lute | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiebreak | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Kalliniki | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moorac | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Some Would Say | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Itsallinthenotes | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Ms Falsetto | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sing Along Suzy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Western Attire | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Every Day | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rare Form | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Courier | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excession | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nifty | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Maker | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eagerly | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jets a Ginnin | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hush Y’all | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Tatum | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Musical Moment | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Ballad | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lay M Out | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Entrusted | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | A. P. Princess | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherished | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Sangria | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghaaleb the Great | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Charge Erica | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Fire and Ice | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Tactics | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundial | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Beyond | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Martique Miss | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lofthouse | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tulsa | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Church Service | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Lea | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forevernoa | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auction Fever | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Marlee | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Descente | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Bit | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drinkatthecreek | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Divine | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Victory | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Direct Dial | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drena’s Star | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Street | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Weekend | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollis | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Forget | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Anywhere | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Croatian | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Racy Jaycee | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Dams Atitude | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neelie Ann | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cancan Saree | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Choctaw Charlie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Connie K | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Fearless | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unbridled Twister | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ebbi Blu | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Burrito | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.