April 22, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Martini Lane | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imagine Winning | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Dixie | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand My Ground | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Solution | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Ron | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fine N Dandy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lasting Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Above the Limit | 0.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonrock | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond in the Sun | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eye of the Needle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love Magel | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ratify | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | And Seek | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mine Not Mine | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miami Mumbles | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Rain | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Da Chrome | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wicked Prankster | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Claw | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Gave Back | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zip the Lip | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inject the Light | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cosa Mas Linda | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Potatoes | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Lightening | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackie A | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raeford | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe and Heywood | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Emperadora | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevilla Sangria | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Golden Moon Shine | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Infinite Reward | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bust Out Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ran Char | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Suzzette Star | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Family Fortune | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin for Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Toma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Claire’s Darling | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Square Penny | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Writtenbythestars | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyce G. | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikki’s Dream | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fred’s Sheila | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Glossamer | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Butterfly | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trikki Nikki | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Free Me | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tua | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keeper in Spite | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Fluidity | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Instinctive | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Donna G | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Petes Pride | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hoss Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | In Class | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapete Claire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Indian | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dennard | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crownedcountcristo | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billingsgate | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carolina Chrome | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indefatigable | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Abuelo Paps | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Break | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Flat Out Flying | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Moose Lodge | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Inside Risk | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Honor Run | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Treasure | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Self Awareness | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Return the Ring | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Band On Tour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invest | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glengar | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whirlin Curlin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feature Act | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southside Warrior | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itgot Grandma | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.