April 23, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Dancing | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Henny Fly | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Loving | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Wind | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santa Ana Winds | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Cents | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Gone Country | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lindsylu | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood Flash | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eden | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Honor | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Villareggia | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polyester Bride | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hennys Crazy Train | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Do Me a Favor | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richness | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rachie Rach | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Louemma | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Presley | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kelly Be Krusin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Triple Happy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | B’s Lil’ Bumblebee | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tailorbeswift | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Necker Island | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lykan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polar Wind | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bruder Bob | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Mojo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Background | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Aqualityindividual | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Major Brown | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Singandcryindubai | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Collection | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Have a Plan | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Storminside | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gospel Abe | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Flashymeister | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop Life | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Carte Blanche | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Seek N Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coworker | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He’s Munnie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Mine | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Commission | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Lucky | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Corot | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raggedy Annie | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henrys Deal | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Bottom Rebel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Euro Me | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Antioch | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baileston Lassie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undecidedcertainty | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whistlin’ Dixie | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laughing Fox | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Dragon | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pickford | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Doc | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blueridge Traveler | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Carlos | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epic (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wherewegoin | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sonny Smack | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Southern Grayce | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spun d’Etat | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Wit | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Becca’s Rocket | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Sovereign | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Full of Soul | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Twenty | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Dover Lights | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Random Affair | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Lou’s Arrow | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Spirit Soul | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Explosive Humour | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Willy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Moonshine Moment | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pure Iron | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Risky Situation | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shine Jack’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Oregon County | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Heros R Cowboys | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.