April 25, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Buzzhound | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Super Houdini | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drakesboro Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tyler Time | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Undaunted Rags | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Replicant | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Transfer the Funds | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bold Quest | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wye Mumbo | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welling | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek Prince | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unbeknownst to Me | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Find Your Boaz | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manicomio | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Western Movies | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy But Sassy | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indubitable | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Whiskey | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lily Chaser | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looks Don’t Lie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brief Reaction | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Answer | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Margie’s Heaven | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jenn’s the Boss | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Corey | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Tigress | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucre | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bethabara | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Something | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Bella Nicole | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Irrepressible | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baffle ‘Em | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luminist | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Golden Lassie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Diva | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hightailing | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coral Summer | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flava’s Dream | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Same Moon | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Polish Cookie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Love My Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Forced | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cry No More | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Baptize the Boy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mice and Men | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Band On Tour | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heir Port | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shackled | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Xmasinthecity | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adding Machine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Josef Is Real | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Raven Rahy | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Day of Honor | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheriff Chip | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Asta | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Parrott | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gonna Win It | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Want More | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Fire Within | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shortlister | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Here Comes Rudy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Other Things Equal | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Pots N Pans | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodluckchuck | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bahama Channel | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Titan’s Will | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Mark | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Supporting Actor | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clever and Great | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Fellow | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | El Equalizer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Who’s Counting | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Military Commander | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roy G. Biv | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.