April 28, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Confess | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Ace Gilford | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Stone Secret | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Squared Straight | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Toil and Trouble | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Haney Boys | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Scyntz | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | That Dude | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Kid’s Mischief | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chicory Blue | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Witch Doctor | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Hope | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Be a Lady | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pop Life | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Full of Run | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Skycraft | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dunph | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I Pick Phoebe | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes Got It | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Steamy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ambitiously Placed | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crescendo Bling | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Playfulmisssamurai | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carrillo Street | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Rewarding | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Chocolate | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Every Day | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | French Charm | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joy in the Journey | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lil Tater | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abramax | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Lingerie | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beauty Day | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiger Bait | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Light Shift | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Runner | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Bossy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sskysthelimit | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nisi Prius | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Making Progress | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame the Red Cat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbin Tail | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Mattie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Smellin Candy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thornish | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pay Dirt | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | African Warrior | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goose Almighty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rusty Cage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockthepulpit | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Two Point O | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demigod | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Bellamy Time | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sianara | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Berry Good | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miner’s Queen | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Romance | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Diamond | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Music App | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Satin Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye J | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Lilli Bug | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hillary G | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Victoria | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaboom Baby | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matapan | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willow Moon | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Pretty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oochie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hissy Missy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sattersfield | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Tailorbeswift | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Sophia | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aunt Sunshine | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Janet’s Rocket | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Line of Faith | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold N Sexy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Rivers | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warm Beauty | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dena’s Bold Move | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lady Priest | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil’ Fancy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.