April 29, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brechin’s Command | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Final Form | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretti Savi | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Potra Liza | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Imaginary Music | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Suz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shackleford County | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 10 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Friendly and Kind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Backseat Promises | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Ghostly Who | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Attack | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mine My Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kristo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Obvious | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Pat Daddy | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | May We All | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bravura Creek | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rock Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Prayer | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Bling Cat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolling Fork | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spotted Bull | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jackman | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Mad | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unidentified Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In the Arch | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Redivivus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Khaki Jack | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | We Be There | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bubba Caballo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Roses | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smack Attack | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belfast Boy | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Luvs Nova | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flimflam Man | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fixation | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Rock | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesalittle Edgy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mess | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millard’s Comet | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Encanta | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kilbarry Lady | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Moon Pie | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justatapin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Letters to Belle | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Novel Squall | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Decade | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dana’s Beauty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shedialed Burreaux | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fouette | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melting Snow | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Princess | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Astrid | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Life of Saturdays | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rose Marie B | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Grace | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Pronounce | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit Right | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hamazing Lace | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Valentine | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Holiness | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marciamarciamarcia | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeri Dawn | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sailaway and Hide | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Special Angel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Princess Strategy | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cadillac Lady | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | W W Fitzy | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jilted Bride | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bigly | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kim K | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Headland | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Kept Secret | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Exulting | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Honoring Major | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Omen of Change | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wagon Boss | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Again | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Defender | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Off the Meds | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tashkent | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Acosta | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Ice Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Paddy O’Dini | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bobby Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.