Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 29, 2021

April 29, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Aprilness 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hello Gracie 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mavilus 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Cape Cod Sally 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Shackaboom 1.40 4.5 8-1
5 5 Sublimity 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Quickstrike 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Belle Tapisserie 1.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Warm Sunny Breeze 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Mojovation 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Day the Music Died 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Candygramformongo 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Uplifting 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Misdriven 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 China Cat 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Our Star 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Bring Me Answers 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Simmard Shenanigan 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Intoxicologist 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Two Carat 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Cosmicality 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Mr. Mosley 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Armando R 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tipyourhattothat 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Irishman 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 6 Shanghaied Astoria 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sebastian 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Tales of Saratoga 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Company Clown 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Tappahannock 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Big Rinne 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Justice of War 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Amen Corner 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Fernwood Drive 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Audacious Quality 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Gator Fifty Two 15.00 8.2 16-1
4 3 Tiz Auction Time 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Frankee Merch 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Redacted Report 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tringale 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Stroll Smokin 4.50 3 6-1
9 9 Ziggy Mon 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Threes Over Deuces 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 In the Loop 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Golden Candy 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tappin Cat 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Brooks Robinson 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Noble Commander 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Russian Melody 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Millie Child 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Promenade Princess 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Eloquent Lady 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Don’tbaggagecheck 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Grand Skylark 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Awfully Foxy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Liv and Let Liv 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kewpie Doll 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Chargina 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hipnotizada 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Pretty Lori 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tiz Ferguson 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Tritone Gal 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo Zone 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Monkey’s Medal 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 He’s Not Curly 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Campari 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Irishtown 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Feature Act 8.00 4.1 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.