April 30, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Skywalking | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Admiral Truffles | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forty Flash | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Political Riot | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Palemma | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor Remo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ascended | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Astray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rough Entry | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozy My Boy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Ice Beast | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comiskey Park | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Exchange | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barahin | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Afficionado (FR) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirling Candy | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katieleigh | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightress | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Prayingforthat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s in Orbit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Intentions | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dimenna | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Steak and Cheese | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lumberjack | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Belt | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Light Cruiser | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maybe After Later | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nacozari | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Jamo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zalinsky | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mauro’s Team | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ampersand | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Officiating | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sososubtle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Demon | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Pudding | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Maxamillion | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nitro Time | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mamba On Three | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halcyon Digest | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spend Benjamins | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr Tingles | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Thinkaboutit | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Breakthrough | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Soldier | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Converter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Tiz Enough | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Luann | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Annmarie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jade Empress | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Patrick’s Lass | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Comp’d | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kozy Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Captain Ron | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Virginian | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Complex System | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kantharos’ Image | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Star Weaver | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sovereign Warrior | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kobe Fifty Two | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combination | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Graceful Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brody’s Honor | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maricopa | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jazzy T | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Signing Bonus | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watermelon Sugar | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kayla’s Tune | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gotham Queen | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mon Paradis | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | St. Louie Arch | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Deraldine | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gracefully | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Black | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Viva | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.