Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 1, 2021

May 1, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lazaretto 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Love Life 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 My Cousin Joe 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sette Stelle 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Sweeney’s Cat 3.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Suleman 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Cpower 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Buddy Revell 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Duel Fuel 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Reinoanimaux 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Artista 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kitodan 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Trust Our Journey 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Cajun Puzzler 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Awesome Crusader 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mastership 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Swift Dancer 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Ruling Front 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starship Blanca 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Auburn 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dinner At Five 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Florado 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Freezer Burn 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Pandorica 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Millefiori 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Majestic Street 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Backchat 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Triple Jeopardy 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Golden Tone 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Proud Contender 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Treasure Tails 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Italian Twin 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Kate’s Kingdom 3.50 3.8 7-1
11 9 Smart Spending 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Dontpushyourluck 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 3 Funwhileitlasted 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 2 Sara Mia 6.00 6.2 12-1
10 8 Sunshine City 10.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Maureenlovesfrank 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 5 Short Circuit 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 7 Battle Cry 15.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Ten Pin Ally 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Celestial Cheetah 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Loyal Louie 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Doo Wop Don 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Miami Chrome 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Cotton Jim 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Camp Pendleton 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Parmenides 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Drum and Drummer 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Undefiled 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Moonshine Now 3.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Averroes 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 He Ain’t No Saint 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Fiat Lux 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Kanithappen 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Barrage 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Double David 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Inaceptable 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Star Juancho 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Paladio 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Speargun 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Vinnie Van Go 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Man of Vision 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 So Long Chuck 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Farley 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Freedom Matters 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Flowmotion 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Max K. O. 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ambassador Jim 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Face of Victory 10.00 6.4 12-1
12 11 Just the Facts 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 All Around 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Cowboy’s Hero 20.00 9 17-1
11 10 Remember the Maine 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Smoke ‘n’ Gloat 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uhtred 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Youshouldbesolucky 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Harbour Master (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majestic Luna 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Big Drama S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Old Chestnut 3.00 1.9 3-1
6 3 R Mercedes Boy 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 2 Well Defined 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 4 Glory of Florida 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Gangly 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Inter Miami 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monforte 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Silverly Enough 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cultured 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 7 Con Lima 1.60 3 6-1
5 4 Karakatsie 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Por Que No 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mischievous Dream 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Coworth Park 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Pens Street 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mia At Midnight 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Unshakable U 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Navajo Creed 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Young Thomas 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Dream of Anfield 6.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Gun of Glory 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Not So Easy 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Thirsty Owl 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Unimpeached 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Lord Theo 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Heaven’s Tale 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 M V Speed 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Joyful Surprise 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.