May 1, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fearless Lassie | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rockstar Girl | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Delancey’s Philly | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Keepyourskateson | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ran Char | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Cause | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ink | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Higuita | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bob Man | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Bold Bandit | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smitten Enough | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ladneedsahandler | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Alan | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crack the Safe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sammie Sunshine | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calypso Ghost | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dat Dares Gold | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tweet Away Robin | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Georgia | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hetty G. | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caterina One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Political | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsknownasthebern | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sing a Verse | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runner Runner Indy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Persevered | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Find Your Boaz | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost On a Mission | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Communicator | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prettyhappy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Asbuilt | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Runners Dream | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Chance Given | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moriah | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Castiglione | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Americas Woman | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Milagra | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Saga | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galofmydreams | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alys Great Notion | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Market Mover | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Moultrie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Full Dinner Jacket | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Benandjoe | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broker’s Reward | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mine to Hold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elementary | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Despite Odds | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johng | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Medium | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Higher Purpose | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Victory Given | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Americano | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ticker Tape Parade | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fast Master | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | U S Constitution | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ghost Stalker | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sir Lenny | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luxero | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rrace Day Warrior | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twitty City | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Ferber | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unaquoi | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foggy Dreams | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nellysford | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buff’s in Love | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Straight Madness | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shifra Magician | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Indy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bernie’s On Fire | 0.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commanding General | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaming Jack | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Plus Seven | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golazo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natty Beau | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Fooling Dude | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.