May 2, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miz Chaplin | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Big Spring | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Rose | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abarrio Forever | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lalali | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Between Dreams | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Beast | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shes One Mad Momma | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Martini Maker | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Ten | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mutakaamil | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commissioner G | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brett’s World | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Invisible Ghost | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meteorito | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Golden Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernie’s Mistress | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Joy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lagertha (CHI) | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Auramet | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Meshak | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikee Kan | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Love On the Run | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hashtag Lucky | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warraree | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Gone Wild | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Package | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lizzy’s Diamond | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catirusia | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | I’ll Do It My Way | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Breeze | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keitany | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sylvanella | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truly | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bonheur | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Beach Chick | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aloha Kitten | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shakem | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Rusia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Wrote | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Moreno | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boatloadofnerve | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Capture the Genie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Miss Ghislaine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Liddie | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Noble Indy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Me and Mr. C | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Over the Channel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Monforte | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbour Master (GB) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Threshold | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tune In | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Journey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Happy Constitution | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Proposal | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Pearl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flight to Shanghai | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Weekend | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emunah | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Pin Ally | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eamonn | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuego Caliente | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chao | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Especiallea | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thorn | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exponential | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostlyprince | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zia’s Song | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Romance | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reinagol | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Exclusion | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shea D Summer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Band Luzziann | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mia At Midnight | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Baby Raelynn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bulk | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Future | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trinni Summer | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Try Me | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Luvnmesumcajun | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nahuatl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | You’re All Right | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Concorde | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Master Q | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cadillac Black | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Albert | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cheval Dore | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lil Crown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dreaming of Gus | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unlonely | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.