May 2, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Toma | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Michelle | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sevilla Sangria | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Toast to Kay | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bell the Cat | 50.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Choice | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 3 | Bless and Honor | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Defy Expectations | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Can | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Claire’s Darling | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Old Bay | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Jazz | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beckon | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | A Girl Named Jac | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bound for Broadway | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hufflepuff | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Laughin’ Place | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Way Or Else | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Discreetly Tough | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hickory Made | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Kens Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flyin It | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Server | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glory March | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iam a Dancer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Miss | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What a Tart | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Belfour | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unequivocal | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Invest | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southside Warrior | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy Saint | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Mauro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Bubble (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atreyu | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Moorhead | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumson Rally | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jag | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Posterity | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resident Liberal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Pots N Pans | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dothat Dance | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uhwarrie Sky | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kikinboy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Onarock | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Union Charm | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Biz | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbonthebayou | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manklin Creek | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Day of Honor | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roy G. Biv | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royalian | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neverfold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Favor Maker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s Factor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Over to You | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Chant | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Solution | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dancingwithpaynter | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Don’t Charge It | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yesterdaysplan | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Stated | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Victory Time | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Annika Gold | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hoss Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunday in L B C | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eight Oaks | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Candy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adabel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suzzette Star | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ember | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Haiti | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.