May 7, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Passion Plus | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Towa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Isadorable Aida | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Skye Snow | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scatnap | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Feature Creature | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Everthree | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siren’s Lucky Song | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovin Livin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodbye Gaby | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Here | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Blast | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Notherdaynparadise | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quenane | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebelde | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tune In | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Youcantcatchcurlin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Marie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Journey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Baby | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Advance Cash | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Fun | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Leonardo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Cairo | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Excalibur | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger Up | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harper Go Lucky | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alastor | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Method | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prospect Project | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peruvian Dancer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barrel Proof | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Ivy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Country Fair (GB) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Normal | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unshakable U | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Warrior | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charges Dropped | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Clementine | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Young Flint | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mony | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Long Beach Kid | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poppy’s Boys | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golovkin | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Axel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jupiter Blues | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Generic Joe (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flamingo Hawk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ensign Parker | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Soldier | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gege Conquest | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berhanu | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flipping Fish | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paladio | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Converter | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson Strong | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | La Cara Bonita | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fast Catalina | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missing Link | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sammy’s Town | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ms Headley | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Include the Beast | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Follow Me Mom | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nicole Princess | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Carrigan | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comp’d | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gasparilla Blast | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hy Dollface | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.