May 7, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Palm | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pushing Sixty | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodtingscominpink | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nicole Grace | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Loveherheart | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Munny Penny | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Diva | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | First Promise | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | At the Spa | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endless Thirst | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Zabava | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quinnie | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Robin | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugary | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Charette | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onenightstandards | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Dance | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Club Cal | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achilleus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Legend | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Hy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Clare | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sherilinda | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’ll Do It for You | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mucha Woman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harper’s Gallop | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katla | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blazinonbayou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rowangoeshollywood | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Doc | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Sky | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moreavino | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bottle Neck | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dual Reality | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keep It Classy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Loud Mouth | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Fiction | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brickyard Ride | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Posterize | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Diablo Rojo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bedrock | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sigalert | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Castle | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awhitesportscoat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bad Beat | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erotic | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Restless Rambler | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Italiano | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eustace | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Eskimo Roses | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.