May 8, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mama G’s Wish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabra Chica | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chica Rabiosa | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sommer Velvet | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Civil Unrest | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Insane Sister | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Pascal Chant | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Go Go | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alltheway to Cairo | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Algodonal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paratycachaca | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Nestr | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shelly Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Big Hambone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | No Knock Raid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Egg Nog | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ronomes | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reine Secret | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyce G. | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spritz of Sprite | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tatica | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Lady Tizmo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Slip Slidin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cookies and Cream | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keeper in Spite | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Instinctive | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petes Pride | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hetty G. | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R True Sensation | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Odd Story | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fire in the Hole | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pathway to Victory | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Replicant | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sebastian | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fax | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Lion | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ballyhoo Prince | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pauping | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dance On the Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Saint Marco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernie’s On Fire | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Singlino | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jebologist | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Band On Tour | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sue Loves Barbados | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Shelby | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cry No More | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Matunuck | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rica Chica | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aunt Mary | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mabel’s Fable | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Western Movies | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapdancing Girl | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Warrior’s Blade | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Looks Don’t Lie | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayfield of Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sally’s Mustang | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rosa Richter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Glossamer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Mick’sbestbetyet | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hickory Made | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dinar | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galerio | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Ride | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tybalt | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Whistle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome D J | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clubman | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Manicomio | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Painter | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doobiedoobiedoobie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbeknownst to Me | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Prince | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runner Runner Indy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.