May 9, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lectric Choke | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Two a T | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Campari | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ego Trip | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bandolini | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feature Act | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Talented Dr. B | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start With Yes | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daystrike | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Danube | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Times | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Americano | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keeping the Peace | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Enough | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harbor Crossing | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aperitivo | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star of Normandy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Transfer the Funds | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Potatoes | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Lew | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darn That Harry | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Shake D Moon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Fairy Wish | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Car Lady | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | M. J.’s Lady | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cairo Queen | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Alibi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Utterly Enchanting | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pebble Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rapidashqueen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Paolla’s Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Who U Gonna Call | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zen Pi | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ronithelimodriver | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ribbons and Medals | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Awareness | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Degas | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Orientate | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Two Times | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Parade | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Mule | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | New Frontier | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodluckjohnathan | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 2 | Desbordes | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 1 | Take Me Home | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Judy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | In a Hurry | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | La Babia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alba’s Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mucha Mezquina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fed Up Fired Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Epic Idea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s Pajamas | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stop War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rough Sea | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Other Things Equal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Titan’s Will | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skyscanner | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Kid Rocks | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bahama Channel | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Jamminwithbrandon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cohodes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | True Shipman | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Tale of Dixie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Little Bay | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whats the Chances | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | El Rojo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.