May 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dynamo Jagger | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tha Big Unit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Cashys First Down | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kingofthewinds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Andalay Tee Chic | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jj Carter | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Louisiana Charlie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gmborn Lucky | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bonafyde | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigtime Piloto | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Orient Xpress | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carters Six | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Runaway | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Bella | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dominate Tres Seis | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gias Dynasty | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bogarts Flash | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majical Secret | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eyeonlouisianadash | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Konstellation | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Revelri | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolde | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Deliverance | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Recanpago Jess | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corona19 | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bp Tres Eagles | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apollitical B Sea | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bigg Daddys Bac | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Jj Coronas Snow | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rl Strikeback | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bp Fling in a Wagon | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rios Diamond Tee | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Prize Ruby | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon and Hearts | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Dimond Fast | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Moon Eagle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr Spud | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apolliticalvalentina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mornin Train | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jj Tres Seis | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Three Chicks | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tf Tres Veses Loca | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dolls Regal Prize | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Is Seperate Flyer | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chicks Little Kitty | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jes a Bit Rusty | 1.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doc McCrocklin | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Solid Love | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tah Dah | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz Dash for Cash | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddys Te Chick | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynasty Creek | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ali Destiny | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucero Bodacios Dash | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hennessy Tlc | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jj First Down Dash | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moonin Senoritas | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Moon Scandal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Td Candy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Relentless John | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Fireworks | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nsm Tw Slew | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Carter Rhodes | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rainbow Tales | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Hocks Gl | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trump Our Secret | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ra Special Runway | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finalmoonform | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess a Revenant | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ojd Miss Lola | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cottonpickintrain | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamante Sign Jess | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tf Eyesa Sweet Jess | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jj Idea Dash | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pop Ivy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eyes a Blue Runaway | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Fast Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Heza Piloto | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Openthiscorona de Oh | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sheza Money Train | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Docs Fast Dash | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fly Rogue Fly | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Open Me A Corona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Featuring Fast Jess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Love the Way You Fly | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ought to Go Tee | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jess U R Blue | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tuckers Prize | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fabulously Black | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apollitical B Snow | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.