May 12, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spun Run | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dial a Lady | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Mistress | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Money | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pasatime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Our Claire Bear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Irish Riviera | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pategory One | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Roundtree | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ronin Warrior | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alfatei | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzafied | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jamie’s Wanderlust | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Seasons Girl | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feyre | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intervention | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Driver’s License | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Running Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Passport Required | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carmeltini | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectacular Now | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Flirtation | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Please | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taylor’s Belle | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supergirl Power | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Florencia | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Janelle Dreams | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valerie First | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up Just in Time | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tokyo | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Raphael | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Serious Happiness | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heart Rhythm | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Be Humble | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deputy Flag | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Know It Now | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Thought | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Nation | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manolito | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Whistling Fool | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thrilling Baby | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Miss Jasser | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Mystical Charge | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hilltop Honey | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eliana’s Mission | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tale of Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Constitution | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Special | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thundershook | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D T Goodie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Train | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Operator | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Tiger | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Always a Queen | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atina Salsa | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evil Woman | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Streak | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shero | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broad Storm | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light Up Night | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Town Jak | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tomater Gator | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inspiring Justice | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King’s House | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Talent | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catch Fire | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spikes Shirl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diesel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Liquor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Oracabessa | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Olympique | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Galtero | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maclean’s Legacy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tiz Effective | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gaucho | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | He Runs the Line | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bizzy Gillespie | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Perez | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.