May 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Soul Dancer | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Future | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Union | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Readyteddygo | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Green Machine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D Tachyon | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mindship Q | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Equinest | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Lua | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sprout Wings | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | That’s My Baby | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweden | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretzel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gilded Lady | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comp’d | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gasparilla Blast | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Applause | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hy Dollface | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Include the Beast | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Roger | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curve | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kleon | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parmenides | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Trial | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You’re All Right | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Pulse | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overstated | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Baseline Drive | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Livin At the Beach | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Passion Plus | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Bit Good | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Beauty | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jost Sayin | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Blondy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Two Step | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Adeeb | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captured by Fate | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deckology | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timewon’tletmego | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frank Alone | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Brother | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Kevin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andrew the Bull | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Powder Day | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What a Trick | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Data | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never At All (FR) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rivercrest Road | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A. A. Fast Lida | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nyssa | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kamar Taj | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | My Mane Man | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bailey | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Creative Cloud | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seazan | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cowboy At Heart | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catching Fish | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sososubtle | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calibrator | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Max K. O. | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lahinch | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Til the End | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everyonelovesjames | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Matuschek | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neverstopdreaming | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lime | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontpushyourluck | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Very Savvy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She’s Classy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Lamarr | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turn It On | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kay’s Project | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Habibi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Third Time Around | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.