May 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Logans Tee Cos | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Dashin Logan | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Open Your On Corona | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tipsy Blood | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strikability | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Red Rogue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast N Foxy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hold On Hez Fast | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fr One Sweet Dream | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tf Sweet Little Eyes | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taylor Made Cartel | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Streak N for Fun | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Blood | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afourleafclover | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strut for Petes Sake | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Boss Aw | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Bell Perry Jr | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Tolltac | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jb Jessthinkingofyou | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Achieve the Flight | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tk Struttin Fast | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hunters Swingin Reba | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pk Sheza Fast Chick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brileys Fast Game | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Duke | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | D Chisel | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ld Cajun Brimmerton | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freighttrain Austin | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tdz Shes a Runaway | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tee Zo | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Jet Stream | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magicspatrioticlady | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Fast Prize Doll | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollitical Bug | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rios Clarablue | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ttt Dasher Bay | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessa Louisiana Dash | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jls Zoom N Boom | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Fury | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leavinublue | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheza Loto Ticket | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessa Fast Romance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adore My Runaway | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girlsjuswannahavefun | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cos Ima Champion | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ransack | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes a Duponte Chick | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Jet Black Magic | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Shiney Tee | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quicksilver B | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nota Ordinary Bear | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leaving in a Rush | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Game Kue | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Fast Dash | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Corona Blue | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hezaa Fast Boy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Budman | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fireintheblood | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sydney Runaway | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tttroyalityntheblood | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jet Blacks Game | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bc Stormin Da Bank | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Matteos Tee | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dash for Coronitas | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jls Tee Prairie | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Jess | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downtown Party | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ttt Aeolus | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kresent Wrench | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Prize Jude | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ld Big John Leaving | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Boogie Boy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colita Blanca | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straw Berri Patriot | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz Bluecajunplayer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Fer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Wild Women Will | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aint Eye Special | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mya Patriot | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Curiosity | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jm Aweskeetskeet | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Flys Bye You | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Rough | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ttt I Said Eloquent | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bt Freak It | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lrh Heart of Glass | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chloes Wildondamoney | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rdd Classy Cartel | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frieghttrain Q | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jess Paint Me Fast | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Olivia B Wagon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Blue | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Louisiana Prize | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waving Chick | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Sweet Treat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.