May 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | She’s So Beautiful | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wallaholly | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Diabolic (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Karla Sofia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hannahs Red Ruby | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Veiled Prophet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brass Band | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Luli’s Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Don V. | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Work Ethic | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Alarm | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Tune | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charliecando | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s Royalty | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Current Hope | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casalsa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Mandate | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorover | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Navy Admiral | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Honor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emit | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrel Proof | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pachi | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beeboo | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Doc Amster | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Septemberten | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kalu | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Heater | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tonalism | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Lynch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Lyrical | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Roadhouse Blues | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queen Abarrio | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ill Will | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hidden Dreams | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Velvet Isle | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Too Stylish | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Comin Home | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Takestwotowiggle | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Astromelia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Britches | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Greenwood Drive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Karenville | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Garner State Park | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irazu | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Touring Egypt | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Check Twice | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anonymous Source | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Streaking Grey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Blast | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | C’Mon Karen | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Decaf | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Restofthestory | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Patrick’s Lass | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Battle Cry | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Interest | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Cheetah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zip It Jess | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Rachel | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capture the Genie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Buzz Buzz | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majic Flash | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Peggy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ohmymy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pitufina | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Noy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flying Sofia | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Bionda | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.