May 21, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Inherent Powers | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roman Poet | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Castle Leoch | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mekano | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honeymoon Suite | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swift Dancer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elton | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Singinthruthestorm | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Market Dynamics | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Ruler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Special Counsel | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Takes Heart | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Hunter | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Levy Land | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ledecky | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Cause | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Well Defined | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miles Ahead | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honolulu Express | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Newfie Express | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legal Deal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blessed Journey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Max | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Fully Loaded | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | French Reef (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | What’s Inside | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tropicat | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hero Tiger | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sovereign Warrior | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ray’swarrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Marcelino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Raspberry Ballet | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Possible Dear | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Two Step | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Race Day Speed | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessica | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nacho Mama | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ms Big Spring | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nicole Princess | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rain | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Classy Beast | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Rose | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Katniss Kan | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Between Dreams | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dienda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Katz a Dream | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glitter Bay | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twilight | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kahiko | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On a Tour | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Rosie Say | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frankie’s Girl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cat Lady | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sanearthmover | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sara Mia | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twelve Volt Man | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Basin | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hercules | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dropped Anchor | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caxambas Candy | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Ride | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Cairo | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Jazzy T | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Queen | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Belle’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maricopa | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Unmarked Money | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Odalea | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Sky High | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Backspark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | We Bless Luck | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Izshefrosted | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unique Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Water Wizard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Beautiful Diva | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Deraldine | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Reina Caribe | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catirusia | 30.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.