June 11, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Messenger | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duncastle | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Artemus Citylimits | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | War Stroll | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castagno | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Encrypted (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fox Red | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Viradia | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lune Lake | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Movie Score | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frills | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Alana | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Tina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Family Biz | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris and Dave | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Villainous | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Heirloom Kitten | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Identifier | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musical America | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Daggerboard | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Papa Smooth | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Flipping Fun | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Forest Spirit | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dutchmen Forever | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gongheifatchoy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chasing a Legacy | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Crock of Gold | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Being Me | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Multiple Expansion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Triple Americano | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Corey Scores | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Canarsie Angel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jen’s Battle | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doll | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stefanie On Fleek | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itsakeyper | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goldmakesmesmile | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sky Kitten | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Money | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Maude | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Kitten | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Holy Breeze | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kreesa La Wrote | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Epona’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caumsett | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ruthless Gal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Acushla | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slam Dunk | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Call Me Mary | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Timely Tradition | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Finding Fame | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Truth Hurts | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tara’s Talent | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dealing Justice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Shamrocket | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Compliant | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Good Old Boy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | First Line | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Box N Score | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somethingtotellyou | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montauk Summer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dance Some Mo | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Division | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Indian Counselor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Dust Devil | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Point Him Out | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Artie’s Lit | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Portfolio Hedge | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Sky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noble Conquest | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tanners Neck Lane | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoping and Praying | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Damilano | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ratchet | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Andrew | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Webb | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Reunion Tour | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cox’s Ledge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Enroule | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.