June 18, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lookout Point | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oviatt Class | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Flash of Genius | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | I’m Winning | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss Bellatrix | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Alois | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Mashhad Flats | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Il Capitano | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte Harbor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swanning | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Agador Spartacus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Summer Rose | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pancakes and Beer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Medusa’s Gaze | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Queen of Love | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Circle of Honor | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slewpys Last Song | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mamas Got Cash | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class Code | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Really Big News | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gone Somewhere | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just About Enough | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surplus | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Constant Conflict | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sleight of Hoof | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Donner Lake | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Auspicious Style | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Sky | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Talklessworkmore | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilder Than Most | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Spot | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pride | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Schivel | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Pass | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Pride | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Invincibella (GB) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loud Loud Music | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madame Barbarian | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lavender (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Lucy (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | A New Peace | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Convince | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Bird (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shezaghost | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ole Silver | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last First Kiss | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Over Attracted | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Dime | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Sky | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brittle and Yoo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Sky | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katla | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Peace Pipe | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Kisses | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Listen to Blue | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buy Wave Buy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Northern Gem | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Livingmybestlife | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taming the Tigress | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mulligan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agreetodisagree | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Dana | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Soulmate | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Joy | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saturday Heist | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flashiest | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson Ridge | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Airman | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vantage Point | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Law Professor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barraza | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Friday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Beat | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mastering | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midcourt | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cupid’s Claws | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manhattan Up | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ax Man | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rhythm and Grace | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Gioiosa (FR) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookintogeteven | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyns Best | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norma Jean B. | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cider Apple (GB) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undisturbed | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cielo d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Assignation | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ruby’s Orchid | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.