July 1, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Negotiations | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Wally | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Lemonade | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mas Chikilin | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Sight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasconade | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Spring | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Splendida | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Shes Astylish Katz | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ri N Ginger | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bearthestorm | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Zazinga | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Dad Rocks | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popthechampagne | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Moonlight Melody | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rhythmic | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Federal Court | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shishka | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trickeration | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carmenootz | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brass Compass | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Would Forest | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seau | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Bullet | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Cheeks | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Shades | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a True Fox | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alternative View | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vinyasa | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueyed Princess | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Uno | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Echo in the Forest | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Asha Ironborn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Penetanguishene | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Intricately | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Under the Eye | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alice’s War | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Close Image | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Adrie Factor | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Nina | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good to Me | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Make No Mistake | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz My Right | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Line of Vision | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Using Coconuts | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Goddess | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancysoul | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlit Silence | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | So Elusive | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itskathiesluckyday | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poinciana | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Takes Flight | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky of Dreams | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smarty Illusion | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suspicious Minds | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dominion Day S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | March to the Arch | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mighty Heart | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Skywire | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin to Strike | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Mambo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Belichick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naitaka | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delightful Dreamer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Get It Did | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snow Squall | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | If Six Was Nine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rosa’s Soul | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Termsandconditions | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candy’s Dream | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echo Strike Again | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dispense | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Viani | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Queen Andher Court | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.