July 2, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star of Normandy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raeford | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pet’s Night | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonzano | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pepe and Heywood | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chico Con Alex | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bean Pole | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hashtag Winning | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Iywaan | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cape Lookout | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Campari | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gio Dude | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Always Forgiven | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Catch | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Still Doing Time | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thunder Boss | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | R B’s Star | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jaimie’s Warrior | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Six o’Clock Sarah | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Petition Prayer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Magic in Me | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clouds of White | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Pay the Kid | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Mo American | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fused | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mint Game | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mister Frank’s Way | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Trek | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cark | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Claw | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Officer Country | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Stringfella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Leading Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Ghost Stalker | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Lenny | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miami Mumbles | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roaring River | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Percher | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Chip | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hazels Little Man | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooke Brothers | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sing a Verse | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frankee Merch | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outside the Box | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justice of War | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Fifty Two | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rather Nosy | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decoupage | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Virginia Beach | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Heart | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Shot | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | S W Briar Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 8 | Tradition | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jestful | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Lew | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Pharoah | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Goldie’s Boy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roy G. Biv | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Grey Giant | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bridge of Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sam in Style | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honey Island | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vlajko | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Leave ‘Em Loaded | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fading Scars | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Malibu Heaven | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rip It | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Royalian | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.