July 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Dreamin of a Jet | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sheza Fast Train B | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tf Runaways Toasted | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bang Boom Pow | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Hesasorrelmagic | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Tf Rowdy Runaway | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Carters Wild Shannon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sizzlin Buckey | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Dreamin the Dream | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Bt Bluesman | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 2 | Masons Jet Black | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
6 | 3 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | U R Jess Blue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Coastal Confessions | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Wynnmesomemoney | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Bag of Fantasies | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Saras Hot Wings | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Ks Quick Shooter | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Sheza Tbr Secret | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Fly Rogue Fly | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Lsu Purpleyellowblue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Bebe Jordan | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Mps Grand Magic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Chica B Quick | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
7 | 6 | Cash Shines | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Myfastprizejordan | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Just Deadly | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | I Cool Too | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | Fast Lady Rocks | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Zoomin the Game | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 6 | Sizzlin Grace | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Jm Friday | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1A | 8 | Lundi Gras Dash | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Hezjessmagic | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 1 | La Prize Streak | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Hesa Crazy Storm | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tee Forest | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Watch My Booty | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
4 | 3 | Cr Wicked Wabbit | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
8 | 9 | Standing At the Bar | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Diamondinthefront | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Mya Patriot | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Jls Mr Prospect | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Cosicandash | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Nitro Vision | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Jls Zoom N Boom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Louisiana Runner | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Rcv Divide the Money | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Jess a Wild Cat | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Reb So Sweet | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Aj Taylors Red Train | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Ec Im That Jess | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Forever Corona Chick | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Diamonds N Coronas | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | The Louisiana Prize | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Shazam a Corona Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Sizzzlin | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Hm Estrella | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vals Fortune Teddy Abrams Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Eyeondaprize | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Lifeinthefastlanes | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Cos Im Kool | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Mpshinning | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Love the Way You Fly | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Tuckers Prize | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ttt Cowboy Boot | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Inphinity | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dashin and Zoomin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 8 | One Sweet Playboy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Fireball Cartel | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Tarkington Prairie | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Cash for Imformants | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | By a Block | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Clave Siete | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Kk Mr Lazaro | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.