July 5, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Promise | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pearls and Heels | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rosie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Monique | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Double the Gold | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | You’re My Boy Kat | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shortman | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Formal Order | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Toasted At Dawn | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katonah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fantastic Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Love | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malakai Moxie | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Equity | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral Boom | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Surplus | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Intense | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gordy’s Boy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pick Your Bid | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Larry’s Legend | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moon Circumference | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roses for Life | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Extremely Wicked | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hot Pastrami | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Warhorse Matty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Gary | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Charming Danza | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maui Road | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pedro Perez | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Total Authority | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Glendora Minecat | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Flatter | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Indy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Mischief | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Very Irish | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Da Kine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Derby Champ | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Passing the Buck | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neutrino | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paint Me Lucky | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Square Root | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Pursuit | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | W. Whitehouse | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Mischief | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Williams Dream | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Great Lady M S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Edgeway | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gamine | 0.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Qahira | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bella Vita | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Road Rager | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candura | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dynasty of Her Own | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eyes Open | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Great Power | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Bills | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eskimo Roses | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tyrannical Rex | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Gronk | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coil to Strike | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Encounter | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Restoring Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.