July 8, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Five Days in May | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ami’s Link | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Queen | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antigone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crumlin Queen | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pluie d’Avril | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Ruby | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Magic | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modus Operandi | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Ring | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glib Marylin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Subzero Plus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rince Tapaigh | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blondilikestodance | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jack’s Memory | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toy Show | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | To Sing My Song | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s Got Action | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Silent | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pippi | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J M R Turallie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curt’s Angel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bring Da Fudge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audition | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Zoysia | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J M R Bold Vision | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Merino Wool | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Lily | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Words of Gold | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Show Some Skin | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hold the Applause | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Someone Else | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sadie Irene | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warning Belle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spite Store | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond My Dreams | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Max | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lenny K | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Send the Word | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Giant | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Scholar | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Downy Boy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tranquility Base | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Bachelor Pad | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Robusto | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bon Prix | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Double the Heart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia’s Extortionist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Northern Solution | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Captain Handsome | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Secrets Told | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Carpe Horseshoe | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fedalia | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Few Regrets | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hard Street | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Away to Return | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | New Play | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kerics Beauty | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Thatsmykindanight | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Orbaline | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Viracocha | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Twelfth | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shanghai Bound | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bella Lalou | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rum Raisin | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jolene Jolene | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m Not Perfect | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Regal Billee | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa’s Silver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seamialaugh | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Slashs Red Diamond | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.