July 9, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 4 | Estardo | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
1 | 1 | Zidikai | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dulce Maria | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Next Time You Win | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Arbitrary | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Time Break | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Peace Nicker | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Torn Jeans | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Plants and Birds | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Midnight Frost | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Fox Able Charlie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Locash | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | King Tito | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
2 | 1 | Good Yegg | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lake Mills | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Power Through | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Simple Logic | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mommas Boy Otis | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kingsburry Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Smack | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Wanna Have Fun | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Apollo U Anywhere | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Princess Cora | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Her Gold Mine | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Chainmail | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Better Angels | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Tre Lee Divine | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Oncewewerebrothers | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | French Minded | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Greeleys Ice | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 5 | Offlee Fun | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
8 | 6 | Betweenhereandcool | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bel Bimbo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Splash for Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Tap It Over | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Beyond Proper | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | My My Munny | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Hippie Cowgirl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Heavenly Scent | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Vietnam | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Joan’s Way | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Colorofacloud | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Duchossois | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | High On Sugar | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Jimmy D | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Barleewon | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | P H Factor | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Bourbon Tan | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Dollar Blue | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Cask | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Julio Tutwiler | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | No Nay Now (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Symbolist | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Chocolate Bunny | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kit Kowaleski | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tea After Ballet | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
12 | 11 | Andthethunderrolls | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
11 | 10 | Cockalorum | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Cachaco | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Off to the Beach | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.