July 9, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 2 | Therisastormbrewin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Wicked Indeed | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bourbon Mission | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tapizearance | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | By the Sey Shore | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promo Code | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Variant Perception | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fair Catch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Zanno | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Aura | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heirloom Kitten | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Storm | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Beautiful | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Roller | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extrordinary Jerry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Star Command | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Pendolino | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Halo City | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Creative Legacy | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Made In Italy (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Dracarys | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rotknee | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sundaeswithsandy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bointheback | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Bourbon’s Hope | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Brownie | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Resilient Courage | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Cozzy’s Attitude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Tootsie’s Song | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | April Antics | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hiya Harry | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun for Lu Lu | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masu | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New York Banker | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Know It All Red | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Captivating Cara | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wish for Magic | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Banker | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blind Sight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Happy Hill Lil | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Danny California | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10B | 4 | Blewitt | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blind Ambition | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emaraaty (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Principled Stand (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6B | 6 | Mo Ready | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 7 | Microsecond | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Island Commish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Price Talk | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Danebury | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Too Early | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Three Jokers | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon Bay | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | I Love Jaxson | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Foam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Daddy Knows | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13A | 6 | Stand for the Flag | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Foxtail | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Alwayz Late | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Secure Connection | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kilkea | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sun Summers | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Classic Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Sweet Wife | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Paynter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bramble Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flighty Lady (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mucha Mezquina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 6 | Sweet Larissa | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Ms Boombastic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | She So Naughty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Seahorse d’Oro | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Giggle Factory | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Entwine (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Exclusion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Kiss and Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zerenia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Appreciate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cherokee Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freddymo Factor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kubie Snacks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.