July 9, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Walsh | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Degas | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erawan | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kickstarter | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maine | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladneedsahandler | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Comes First | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Guns Blazing | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Woodbine Way | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cindy’s Prayer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Girl Named Jac | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucre | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Insightful | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Can | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Always Something | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shackaboom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Hicktown | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hannahs Red Ruby | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Determined Truth | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senson | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Bid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen Cadence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Green Eyes | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Matunuck | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Great Cause | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Americas Woman | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Lani | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keepyourskateson | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sevilla Sangria | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Competent | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merry Maid | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adabel | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Haiti | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Netti Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Megalomania | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Pascal Chant | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nova Boy | 1.60 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Extra Medium | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glengar | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ticker Tape Parade | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Step | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rate | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fifty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Criticize | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cranston’s Network | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Caps | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tipyourhattothat | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transit | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strolled On By | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mentalist | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyler Time | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Heaven | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bridge of Hope | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El Equalizer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Luv the Painter | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ziggy Mon | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stroll Smokin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youngest of Five | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bustoff | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Valued Notion | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Commander | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Token | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeopardy James | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rough Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Market Cap | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ink | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghaied Astoria | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Contraflow | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fole’s Notion | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sebastian | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.