July 12, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grandeur | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plucky Strike | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Close Shave | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Key | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance On the Moon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Auld Lange Syne | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forevamo | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runner Runner Indy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Sueno | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linda’s Nekia | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild About Deb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fizbo | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Dubini | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Ventriloquism | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Boomer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Xmasinthecity | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Jovis | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Brooks Robinson | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Jammer | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Palio Siena | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pasatime | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourn Wild Again | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Peg | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Carmela | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Server | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colonel Bailey | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brooksley | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bella Serena | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kirby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shatter Me | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aprilness | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peaceful Way | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Award Wanted | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Jean | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Domonette | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thea’s Theme | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flight Risk | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Effort | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Pillo | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greek Prince | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Fate | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Zone | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Candy Biz | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zaya | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Vikram | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Law of the Land | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Ride Em | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Hey Padre | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Striking It Lucky | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Take Profit | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | B Determined | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Van | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | One Nation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Why Why Paul Why | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Summer Palace | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Busster Von Trappe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Danny Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Firstcadete | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tithed | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expensive Style | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Thunder | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Code Name Brody | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Leme At Em | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Tall Dawg | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Despite Odds | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.