July 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Jj Jess a Patriot | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mda Sweet Prospect | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Jessa Blue Runner | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tg Bigone | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | A Sweet Toast | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Ttt Transformer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Jl Sassy Jet Patriot | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Struttinmyjewelsoff | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Agoutis Snowplow | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Madelyns Beaux | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Nl Roll N Toast | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Ketel Dream | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | First in My Class | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Dwaynes First Perry | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Fastn Inseperable | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Big Game Win | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Cruzin for a Rogue | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Tg One Dasher | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tacohs | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Do It Cajun | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jes Inseperable | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Hold On Hez Fast | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lynns Tee Cos Love | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Sheza Real Rogue | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Sheza Bama Girl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gml Holy Water | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jrs Sir Growacet | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | One Fast Cajun | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Fast Sweet 8 | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | Open Your On Corona | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Jesstify Your Faith | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Runaway Lucille | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Bcl One Fast Jess | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Ttt Shiney Ivan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Tf Ima Gray Runaway | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Dr Sir Runaway Cash | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Mj Flying Hot | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Jesscheerforblue | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Rf One Famous Blue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Dee Magic Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Streak N for Fun | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Kalies Magic | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Bye Bye Agouti | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Jess U R Blue | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Perry Mouse Tale | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Rebas Louisiana Blue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Da Pool Do | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Return the Queen | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | My Liquid Love | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Travis Got Game | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mornin Train | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Rogues Fast Sister | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Zevi Blue | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Geaux Aggie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
10 | 10 | Toast to Sir Runaway | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
8 | 8 | Feature Mr Blue | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Kingofthewinds | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Develop A Plan S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 3 | Wagons Dash | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | El Predator | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jess B One | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
6 | 4 | Sharks Jess Jumpin | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Afourleafclover | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Achievopiloto | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Jibbys Bebe | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Openthiscorona de Oh | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Wicked Runaway Dash | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Carters Magic | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | El Bandalero | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Hollywood Dasher | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Wild Fortunes | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ccr a Warriors Heart | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Jj Coronas King | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.