Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 12, 2021

July 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jj Jess a Patriot 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mda Sweet Prospect 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Jessa Blue Runner 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tg Bigone 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 A Sweet Toast 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Ttt Transformer 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Jl Sassy Jet Patriot 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Struttinmyjewelsoff 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Agoutis Snowplow 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Madelyns Beaux 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Nl Roll N Toast 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Rio Rojo Cosino 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ketel Dream 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 First in My Class 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dwaynes First Perry 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Fastn Inseperable 3.00 2 4-1
5 4 Big Game Win 4.00 2 4-1
4 3 Cruzin for a Rogue 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Tg One Dasher 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Tacohs 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Do It Cajun 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jes Inseperable 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hold On Hez Fast 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Lynns Tee Cos Love 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Rbd Lu Boor Ee Ka 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Sheza Real Rogue 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Sheza Bama Girl 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gml Holy Water 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Jrs Sir Growacet 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 One Fast Cajun 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Fast Sweet 8 15.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Open Your On Corona 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jesstify Your Faith 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Runaway Lucille 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Bcl One Fast Jess 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ttt Shiney Ivan 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Tf Ima Gray Runaway 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dr Sir Runaway Cash 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Mj Flying Hot 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Jesscheerforblue 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Rf One Famous Blue 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Dee Magic Star 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Streak N for Fun 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Kalies Magic 1.80 2.4 5-1
1 1 Bye Bye Agouti 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jess U R Blue 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Perry Mouse Tale 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Rebas Louisiana Blue 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Da Pool Do 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Dlj Imma B Famous 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Return the Queen 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 My Liquid Love 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Travis Got Game 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mornin Train 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rogues Fast Sister 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Zevi Blue 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Geaux Aggie 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Toast to Sir Runaway 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Feature Mr Blue 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Kingofthewinds 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Develop A Plan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Wagons Dash 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 El Predator 5.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Jess B One 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 4 Sharks Jess Jumpin 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Afourleafclover 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Achievopiloto 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jibbys Bebe 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Openthiscorona de Oh 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Wicked Runaway Dash 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Carters Magic 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 El Bandalero 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 Hollywood Dasher 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Wild Fortunes 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Ccr a Warriors Heart 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Jj Coronas King 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.