July 12, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bester | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principino | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digging for Gold | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Equality | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Tuttle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Champ | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fox in the Fog | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Canoochee | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Game | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Florencia | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passport Required | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chancee | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Towson | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Occhi d’Oro | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jayjaydee | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roan Mountain | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impactful | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Edge | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart of a Dreamer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Oasis | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | B B’s Rocket | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Mustn’t Grumble | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Constitution | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lulinda’s Heart | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mon Cherie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tamiami | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Our Claire Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stone Cold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miraculousblessing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Evil Woman | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lean On E | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breviary | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Li’lbito’charm | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella G | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmeltini | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Love in Her Eyes | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stand by You | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Onthisharvestmoon | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kirtan | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clout Chaser | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To a T | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flashy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheer Flattery | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eclipsed Moon | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big City Ralph | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Borsa Vento | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Town Jak | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Train | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderfully Tuned | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Superling | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Cathy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fed Policy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Monaco Princess | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Tomarie | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | J J Loves Billy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Dirty Bird | 99.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sidereal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Natoma | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wings of Fury | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | I Am Redeemed | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strawberry Red | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kidnapped | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pylon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Jude | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danzafied | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mead Hall | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chrisatude | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Philly Special | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Two Kid | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ronin Warrior | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lease | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Sambam | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Group | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Strong Alex | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Defibrillator | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omati | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dramatized | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Abdaa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Croi Mor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Judicial Restraint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.