July 13, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tdz Louisiana Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee First Miss | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Loto Ticket | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rh Shake Em Blue | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffon Tlc | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jet Warrior | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trouble in a Dash | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Kool Rogue | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gmborn Lucky | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dove Connection | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shez Wild as Jess | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ar Jess Domination | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Black Who | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Black Duck | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isnt He Hot | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prscamptowncovergirl | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Fiving Henrytkt | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olivia Michelle | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tf Cashys First Down | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Plain Deadly | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tf Ricky Rockstar | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Jets | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ransack | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mp St Pat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red White an Blue | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ace Up His Sleeve | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess a Wild Caret | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mp Special Country | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Jls Hippy Cartel | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hitt Zum | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Tf Eyesa Struttin | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | All Wild Women Will | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Cr Miss Red | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Mj Carters Honor | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ld Big John Leaving | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Rddjacquiesfastdash | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Tempting King | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Keachi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sero 13 | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | King Alexi | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dashin Daisy May | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tequila Josie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Cajun Cartel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Se Valiant Streakin | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Girlsjuswannahavefun | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | T Mr Jet II | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Louie Blues | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shaken Open a Corona | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Pool | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tinys First Patriot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tm I See a Patriot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jla Easenatcha | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elie Special | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ld Cajun Brimmerton | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paint Me Lucky | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Done Deal | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Jealous | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hqh Runaway Platinum | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blues Wanna Fly | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Domniksmiraclebaby | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Toasted Dragon | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shanendoah | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Black Is Royal | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lrh Cash Call | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fortalezza | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kiss Me and Miss Me | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jess a Candy Rogue | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Lookin | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jla Louisiana Flirt | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ho Lotta Pazzazz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Guccia Fast Tee | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Louisiana Shaker | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ima Calente Kid | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Forever Cash | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rm First Down Pride | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jett Black Special | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Okey Dokey Kat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mda Jess My Dasher | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Prime | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Streakin Okey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shine First Chick | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Lady Jessie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.