July 15, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Frankel At Ascot (FR) | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Dance With Destiny | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Saucy Cat | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Mademoiselle Nova | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Con Thien | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Quinte Road | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Shes the North | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 6 | Chaldea | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | If Six Was Nine | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
10 | 8 | Letter Roll | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Ambitious Princess | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Popthechampagne | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Elfin Forest | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
7 | 5 | Queen Andher Court | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 7 | Trickeration | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Tranquil Sky | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Sweet Yare N Dira | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Fresh Dreams | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Real Coal | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Veil | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Betwixting | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Ever So d’Wild | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Nisha | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Samurai Fighter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Candy’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Wide Awake | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Joy’s Solution | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Savvy’s Sister | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Sweet Shades | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
11 | 11 | She’s a True Fox | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Capable | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Vinyasa | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Muskoka Lady | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
10 | 10 | Stormy Vision | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Drunk Dial | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Salty as Can Be | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Imagery | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Pledge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 5 | Chargina | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hazelbrook | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Swirling Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Silent and Smart | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Rule the Sea | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Classy Mistress | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Baby Driver | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Kentucky Fan | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Blu Sky Sunrise | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | In Pursuit | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | San Nicola Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | You Thrill Me | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Shishka | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Silent Guroo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Sterling Speed | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | High Society Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Lady Kratos | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Linda Loves Lace | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Nero Davola | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Souper Pecan | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Miss Bobbit | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Viani | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Naitaka | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Dont Wake the Bear | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Canadian Essence | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Simply a Zoomer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Gigi’s Gift | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Everyminitevryhour | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | Royal City Reign | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Cliff’s Head | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Conzip | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.