July 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flor de Plata | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bembe | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Devilette | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Stone Beauty | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Chit Chat Bang | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kumandra | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sterlina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dear Mama Mia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rosa Star | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appointed | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Colors | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Choose to Be Happy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alexandra Am I | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anonymous Source | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crystal Coast | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Glory | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Defendant | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Penelope | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Acting Lucky | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Yaya | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kizzy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G T’s Blue Squall | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cresta Celerina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ventriloquist | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Mo | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Rox My Socks | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettabe Swift | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bonny Bell | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breehazel | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oh No Its T B | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Tale | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rough Entry | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Timber | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thinkaboutit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ensign Parker | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Eclipse | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paladio | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fulminate | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freccia d’Argento | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Opalina | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zen (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Numeric | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Saturday Nite Girl | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ines’s Hats | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lluvia | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Word From Artie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Linn Pier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Basking | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Only Time | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Omega Moon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benefactor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meade | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gemo | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tangled Web | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Casique | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mustang Cat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bimini | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nationalist | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Doozie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Princess | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raspberry Ballet | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Be Honest | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jost Sayin | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Possible Dear | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dream of Anfield | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remendador | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Traceability | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Liams Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Metrallazo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Captured Star | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Duel Fuel | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Jamo | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kick in the Gas | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Buddy Revell | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sette Stelle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sweeney’s Cat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Black Limo | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Divine Control | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.